The Outlook for the U.S. Economy
This talk could review the U.S. business cycle and the outlook for government policies which affect the economy.
The Outlook for the Global Economy
This talk could examine conditions in the global economy, including both the industrial countries and emerging market countries.
The Outlook for the U.S. Equity Market
This talk could review the factors which determine equity prices such as corporate profits, interest rates, consumer confidence, and the business cycle.
China's Role In the Commodity Markets
This talk could review the effects of China's new role as the largest consumer of base metals and second largest consumer of oil. How has Chinese demand affected prices. How China is emerging as a major investor in developing countries to secure raw material supplies. The risk of conflict with the U.S. and other countries as China seeks to obtain control of raw marterial supplies in other countries.
The African Economic Takeoff
This talk could review the recent surge of growth in Sub Saharan Africa. It can examine the factors producing higher growth rates in Africa, including increased foreign direct investment, the spread of democracy to many African countries, and Africa's embrace of new technologies such as cellular telephones.
The Future of the European Currency
This talk could examine the recent sovereign debt crisis in Europe and its implications for the future of the single currency. We can review the contradictions in the creation of the monetary union and how Europe is attempting to resolve these problems. We can review how Germany is trying to save the monetary union and the effects of her proposals on debtor countries such as Greece, Italy, and Portugal.
The Future of the Dollar
This talk can review the status of the dollar as the world's leading reserve currency. How long can the dollar remain supreme in the face of America's large fiscal deficits. What are the possible alternatives to the dollar. Will there be multiple reserve currencies in ten years.
David Hale is a Chicago-based global economist whose clients include asset management companies in North America, Europe, Asia, and Africa. He is the founding chairman of David Hale Global Economics. He formerly worked as chief economist for Kemper Financial Services from 1977 to 1995 and Zurich Financial Services, which he joined as chief economist when it purchased Kemper in 1995. He advised the group’s fund management and insurance operations on both the economic outlook and a wide range of public policy issues until 2002, when he founded David Hale Global Economics.
Mr. Hale holds a B.Sc. degree in international economic affairs from the Georgetown University School of Foreign Service and a M.Sc. degree in economics from the London School of Economics. Mr. Hale is a member of the National Association of Business Economists, New York Society of Security Analysts, National Business Economics Issue Council, Academic Advisory Board of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, and Competitive Markets Advisory Council of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. He is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations in both New York and Chicago, and is a long-time member of the Australian American Leadership Dialogue.
He writes on a broad range of economic subjects and his articles have appeared in The Wall Street Journal, the Financial Times, The New York Times, the Nihon Keizai Shimbun, The Australian Financial Review, Harvard Business Review, Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, National Interest, and other publications. He lectures worldwide, to groups including the World Economic Forum, the Fortune Global CEO Conference and the National Association of Governors. He has frequently testified before Congressional committees on domestic and international economic policy issues, and has done briefings for senior officials in the executive branch, including former President George W. Bush.
In September 1990, the New York chapter of the National Association of Business Economists conferred upon Mr. Hale, the William F. Butler Award. This award is conferred annually by the society upon a business economist who has made an outstanding contribution to the field. Other recipients have included Paul Volcker, Geoffrey Moore, Lawrence Klein, Alan Greenspan, and Otto Eckstein.
China Takes Off, published in Foreign Affairs in 2003 and written jointly with his wife Lyric Hughes Hale, is one of the most oft-cited surveys of China’s economic ascendency. Their newest publication, ”What’s Next? Unconventional Wisdom on the Future of the Global Economy” published by Yale University Press in 2011.