Ian is an internationally known author, consultant, and futurist specializing in long-term forecasting and planning with particular emphasis on health care and the changing business environment. He combines research and consulting skills with an incisive Scottish wit to help public and private organizations plan their longer-term future.
Ian has written, lectured, and consulted on a wide variety of forecasting, strategy, and health care topics for government, industry, and a variety of nonprofit organizations in North America, Europe, the Middle-East and Asia. He has spoken to a range of audiences from the boards of Fortune 100 companies to the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences in Beijing. Ian has worked with more than 100 Fortune 500 companies in health care, manufacturing, information technology, and financial services. Recent client sponsors include CVS Health, Kaiser Permanente and the Mayo Clinic. He is a frequent commentator on the future for television, radio, and the print media.
Ian is the author of Leading Change in Healthcare: Building a Viable System for Today and Tomorrow (AHA Press, June 2011) and Healthcare in the New Millennium: Vision, Values and Leadership (Jossey-Bass, 2002). His previous book: The Second Curve – Managing The Velocity of Change (Ballantine, 1996) was a New York Times Business Bestseller and Businessweek Bestseller and was published in 7 languages. Ian has co-authored several other books and chapters, including Future Tense: The Business Realities of the Next Ten Years (William Morrow, 1994) and Looking Ahead at American Health Care (McGraw-Hill, 1988). He also has co-authored numerous journal articles for publications such as Chief Executive, Encyclopaedia Britannica, Across the Board, The British Medical Journal, New England Journal of Medicine, and Health Affairs.
Ian is a past President of the Institute for the Future (IFTF). Ian is a founding partner in Strategic Health Perspectives a joint venture between Harris Interactive and the Harvard School of Public Health’s Department of Health Policy and Management. In 2017 the Strategic Health Perspectives team joined with Leavitt Partners (Health Intelligence Partners HIP program) a forecasting and intelligence service for clients in the healthcare industry. Ian serves as a Senior Advisor to Leavitt Partners and to HIP.
From 1996-1999, Ian was retained by Accenture, (formerly Andersen Consulting), as Chairman of the Health Futures Forum. In that capacity, Ian chaired a number of international forums on the future of healthcare. Before coming to IFTF in 1985, Ian spent seven years in British Columbia, Canada, in a variety of research, teaching, and consulting positions.
Ian holds an interdisciplinary Ph.D. in urban studies from the University of British Columbia; an M.A. in geography from the University of Edinburgh, Scotland, and a graduate degree in urban planning from the University of Newcastle-upon-Tyne, England). He is a past director and chair of the California Health Care Foundation; a director of the new Martin Luther King Community Hospital in Los Angeles; a past director of the Health Research and Education Trust (HRET), the research and education arm of the American Hospital Association; and a past director of the Center for Healthcare Design. Ian currently serves on the Founder’s Council of United States of Care a new non-partisan non-profit movement to achieve long-lasting solutions that make health care better for everyone. He also serves on the Advisory Council of the Council of Accountable Physician Practices (an affiliate of the American Medical Group Association and served as a member of the Stakeholders Advisory Committee of the Program on Health System Improvement at Harvard University.
In 2018 Ian received the American Hospital Association’s Board of Trustees Award, for his more than 20 years of service to the AHA and the healthcare field.
As we gear up for a National Presidential election in 2020 healthcare is once again high on the agenda. Democratic candidates are proposing a wide range of policy options from Medicare for All to Medicare for More. The Trump Administration has signaled its intent to undo many of the Obamacare reforms but much of the infrastructure such as exchanges and Medicaid expansion remains intact. Organizations and individuals need to be flexible to adjust to a new reform agenda, including the push for more widespread reimbursement reform, changes in coverage (including more populations under public payment such as Medicare and Medicaid), growth in transparency and accountability, and the relentless quest for value in healthcare driven by patients and purchasers. In this uncertain environment significant consolidation is underway as both for for-profit and non-profit consolidation occurs and as both horizontal and vertical integration takes place throughout the healthcare ecosystem. Threats of disruption from new entrants and new combinations abound from Big Tech such as Apple, Amazon, IBM and Microsoft to well financed start-ups. This presentation will focus on the political, economic, and strategic context of change in healthcare, describe the possible scenarios we face and examine how the various actors are preparing for the future. Drawing on experience from around the country and relying on deep research and experience it will identify the leadership challenges and opportunities that lie ahead and will provide strategic insights on how organizations and individuals can flourish in the future.
1) To identify the key trends creating change in healthcare in particular the impact of political and policy changes, consolidation, consumerism and disruption and payer and payment transformation
2) To identify how health system leaders are responding to these key trends drawing on lessons from around the country and around the world
3) To identify the implications for health systems strategy
The second curve is driven by the confluence of three powerful driving forces: new technologies, such as the Internet; new consumers, who are smarter, more affluent, more skeptical and more demanding than the previous generation; and new markets, such as China, with its 1.2 billion consumers. The challenge is to gauge how fast the second curve will take over and develop strategy accordingly.
“You can’t go wrong having Ian speak at your event. Content was superb, and speaking style and personality excellent.”