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What is the outlook for the US and international economy?
Using both facts and humor, Mr. Baumohl lays out the road ahead for the U.S. and international economy. His comments touch on the outlook for consumer and business spending, jobs, inflation, and interest rates. His analysis also includes the turbulent geopolitical climate in Europe, China, the Middle East, and Latin America. By tracking economic and international political trends, Mr. Baumohl has been out front assessing the direction of the economy and global events.
Geopolitical Risks: Where is the world headed?
Rarely have business leaders and investors confronted so much uncertainty about the future. Simply put, we live in a crisis-prone global economy. There is political paralysis in Washington, economic distress in Europe, dangerous conflicts in the Middle East and Eastern Europe, and rising tensions in Asia. You can almost hear the geopolitical pot boiling furiously. Yet the sobering fact is corporate managers and investors still need to make decisions --- and be able to justify them. Mr. Baumohl tackles all the key issues: Which shocks are most likely to erupt in the future? What implications will they have for the economy? How can you protect your business with so many global storms brewing?
Bernard Baumohl is chief global economist at The Economic Outlook Group. He is well known for being ahead of the curve in assessing the direction of the U.S. and world economy. Mr. Baumohl began his career as an analyst with the Council on Foreign Relations, a think tank specializing in international affairs and national security. He later served as an economist at European American Bank with responsibilities to monitor the global economy and develop forecasts. Mr. Baumohl was also an award-winning economics reporter with TIME magazine who covered the White House, Federal Reserve and Wall Street.
Apart from his role as chief global economist, Mr. Baumohl is on the faculty of the New York Institute of Finance and conducts seminars in the U.S. and abroad on how forward-looking economic indicators can help business leaders better foresee turning points in the economy. He has also lectured at New York University and Duke University, and served as a commentator on TV's Nightly Business Report.
A sought after international speaker, Mr. Baumohl has been recognized for his forecasting accuracy. He is a member of the monthly Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Panel and his projections on the economy and geopolitical outlook are frequently cited in the New York Times, Washington Post, Business Week, Financial Times, and on National Public Radio.
Mr. Baumohl is author of The Secrets of Economic Indicators: Hidden Clues to Future Economic Trends and Investment Opportunities (Pearson Education). The best-selling book is in its 3rd edition and has been translated into several languages, including Chinese, Japanese, Russian, and German.
He is also a recipient of the John Hancock Award for Excellence in Financial Journalism, and is a member of the National Association for Business Economics and the American Economic Association. Mr. Baumohl holds an M.A. from Columbia University's School of International Affairs.
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